Football Outright Betting Tips & Guide

Understanding Football Outright Betting

Outright betting, also known as futures betting, allows you to place bets on the outcome of an entire competition before or during the season. The most common outright bets in football include:

1. League Winner: Predicting which team will win the league.

2. Top Four Finish: Betting on a team to finish in the top four, qualifying them for the UEFA Champions League.

3. Top Six Finish: Betting on a team to finish in the top six, securing a spot in European competitions.

4. Relegation: This involves betting on the teams you believe will drop into lower divisions.

5. Top Goal Scorer: A betting which predicts which player takes the most goals in the league.

Key Factors to Consider in Outright Betting

1. Team Strength and Squad Depth

When betting on outright markets, evaluating a team’s overall strength and squad depth is crucial. Teams with a strong starting XI and a deep bench are more likely to perform consistently over the course of a long season. For instance, Manchester City and Liverpool have both demonstrated exceptional depth in recent seasons, making them strong contenders for the league title.

2. Managerial Stability and Experience

A team’s manager plays a significant role in their performance over a season. Experienced managers who have previously won titles or managed teams at the highest level are often more reliable in outright betting markets. For example, Pep Guardiola’s experience and tactical acumen have made Manchester City a consistent title challenger.

3. Fixture Congestion and European Commitments

Teams competing in multiple competitions, such as the EPL, UEFA Champions League, and domestic cups, often face fixture congestion. This can lead to player fatigue and injuries, potentially affecting league performance. Consider the impact of these additional fixtures when making outright bets. A team like Tottenham Hotspur, with limited squad depth, might struggle in the league while competing on multiple fronts.

4. Injuries and Transfers

Key players can cause a major impact on their team’s performance if they get injured. Similarly, the transfer market can alter a team’s fortunes. A key signing or departure can change the dynamics of a team. For example, if a top player like Harry Kane leaves a team, it could weaken their chances of finishing in the top four or winning the league.

5. Historical Performance and Trends

Analyzing historical performance can provide insights into a team’s likelihood of achieving certain outcomes. Teams with a history of strong finishes, like Chelsea, are often safer bets for top-four finishes. Additionally, newly promoted teams have a higher probability of being relegated, making them common choices in relegation markets.

EPL Football Betting Strategy for Outright Markets

1. Early Bets vs. In-Season Bets

Outright bets are bets that can either be placed before the action begins, or while it’s ongoing. Early bets often come with higher odds, as there’s more uncertainty. However, betting in-season allows you to gauge a team’s form and make more informed decisions. For instance, if Manchester United starts the season strongly, their odds to win the league might shorten, but the bets become less risky.

2. Hedging Your Bets

Hedging involves placing additional bets to cover potential losses on an outright bet. For example, if you bet on Arsenal to win the league but they face strong competition from Manchester City, you could place a smaller bet on City as a hedge. This way, if City wins, your loss on the Arsenal bet is minimized.

3. Each-Way Betting

Each-way betting is a popular option in outright markets, particularly for top goal scorer bets. This type of bet splits your stake into two parts: one part on the player winning the market, and the other on the player finishing in the top few places. For example, if you bet on Mohamed Salah to be the top goal scorer with each-way terms covering the top three, you can still win if he finishes second or third.

4. Value Betting

Value betting is identifying bets where the odds offered by the bookmaker are higher than the actual probability of the event occurring. In outright markets, this might involve betting on a team to win the league when they’re considered outsiders but have potential, such as Leicester City in their remarkable 2015-2016 title-winning season.

5. Diversifying Your Bets

Instead of focusing solely on one outright market, consider spreading your bets across different markets. For example, you might bet on a team to win the league, another to finish in the top four, and a player to be the top goal scorer. This diversification can help manage risk and increase your chances of a return on investment.

Conclusion

Football outright betting offers exciting opportunities to predict the outcomes of leagues and tournaments. However, it requires careful analysis, strategic thinking, and disciplined bankroll management. By considering factors such as team strength, managerial experience, fixture congestion, and historical performance, you can improve your chances of making successful outright bets. Remember to diversify your bets, consider value opportunities, and avoid common mistakes to enhance your football betting strategy.

With these tips and strategies, you’ll be better equipped to navigate the complex world of football outright betting, whether you’re predicting the next EPL champion, top-four finishers, or the league’s top goal scorer. Be sure to bet on a reputable bookmaker’s site like Legabet.com, to ensure you get the best deal for your money. Happy betting!